CROPCAST AI
Stale<1h
Top ConvictionСвинина (HE)15.08.2026, 07:06

Свинина Bullish

CropCast объединяет 3-слойные данные, Quant Engine, 4 debate-crew и публичный scorecard. Сначала проверка сигнала, затем исполнение в TradingView.

CONFIRMDecision Badge
Model Confidence79%

Agent Consensus

4 / 6

4 of 18 agents agree bullish (incl. 12 LLM)

Expected Vol

High

Market Pulse

Global Liquidity
Export Demand
Weather Risk

Real-time Momentum Flow

AI-ответ

Свинина (HE) 30-day outlook: Рост. 4/6 Crews agree. Key: . Confidence 79%. (2026-08-14)

Analyst Crew Evidence

90%

Supply Dynamics

Harvest, logistics, stocks · Свинина

Quant 7d forecast: bullish (+1.7%), supply may be tightening. 52w position 12%:

63%

Demand Profile

Institutional, consumer, processing · Свинина

Korean seasonal demand: Chuseok prep (추석 준비). Price at 12.4th percentile of 52w

85%

Macro Trends

Energy, FX, policy · Свинина

EXTREME volatility regime (54%): market dislocation, mean reversion likely. RSI

86%

Global Flows

CME, fundamentals, seasonal · Свинина

RSI 5: deeply oversold, bounce expected. MACD -1.58: negative momentum. Golden C

5%

Logistics

Shipping, ports, exports · Свинина

No active shipping route disruptions detected | No export sales data available |

44%

Sentiment

Market mood, positioning · Свинина

News: 0.0w bullish vs 0.0w bearish from 1 insights. RSI oversold (5.3)

AI Мульти-модель

Вердикт AI

Бычий

Уверен.

51.2%

Согласие

79%

Agents

12/12

Голосование

Бычий
79%
Нейтр.
21%
Медвежий
0%

Ключ. факторы

  • 1RSI 5.3 is an outlier reading that warrants skepticism on data integrity before treating it as a contrarian bullish trigger
  • 2Zero-weighted news sentiment provides no independent confirmation of positioning or narrative shift
  • 3Conflicting 7d/14d/30d price action signals no dominant momentum regime for flow-based contrarian read
  • 4extreme RSI oversold reading
  • 5positive 7-day Quant forecast

Осн. риски

  • !If RSI is accurate, an oversold bounce could still materialize quickly and a neutral stance would miss early momentum
  • !Thin CFTC COT/options skew data for HE (lean hogs) limits ability to confirm true speculative extremes
  • !oversold conditions can persist during strong liquidation
  • !missing COT, options-skew, and meaningful news-flow data

Анализ по группам

Настр.sonnet-4.6

The RSI reading of 5.3 is extreme enough to question data quality rather than trust as a clean oversold bounce signal — genuine RSI readings that low are rare and often reflect illiquid/thin trading...

Настр.gpt-5.4

RSI at 5.3 signals an unusually stretched selloff and supports a tactical mean-reversion bounce, consistent with the Quant Engine's positive 7-day forecast.

Макроsonnet-4.6

Feed-cost tailwinds are ambiguous but the broader commodity complex is genuinely firm (USD softness plus a still-accommodative real-rate backdrop keeps hard-asset demand supported), and a 30d +9.9%...

Макроgpt-5.4

The 7-day and 30-day forecasts, broad commodity strength, and deeply oversold conditions support a rebound in HE.

Правила vs AIdisagree

Commodity Futures

As of 15 авг. 2026 г.

Prediction Performance Timeline

Historical signal accuracy tracking over rolling 30D window.

Overall Accuracy

54%

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