Signal Detail

Café

Resposta Rapida IA

Café (KC) 30-day outlook: Alta. 6/6 of 4 Crews agree. Key evidence: El Nino: drought risk in tropical producing regions. Quant 7d. Confidence 82%. (As of 2026-08-14)

KC
AltaADJUST
Preço Atual
$312.00
-6.33%
Consenso
74%
Confiança
82%
Confiança da decisão82%
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
15/08/2026, 07:06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D bullish · 29.81%

Café está com viés altista no momento.

Revise a evidência e então siga o cenário altista de forma seletiva.

Summary

Leitura em linguagem simples

Leia direção, evidência e risco antes de decidir como executar.

Leitura rápida

Café está com viés altista no momento. Revise a evidência e então siga o cenário altista de forma seletiva.

Judgment basis
Adopted moderator evidence is unavailable, so this section currently shows supporting crew evidence instead.
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
15/08/2026, 07:06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D bullish · 29.81%
Evidence basis
Oferta
[Supply Crew / KC] El Nino: drought risk in tropical producing regions. Quant 7d forecast: bullish (+29.8%), supply may be tightening. Approaching tight-supply period next month for KC. High volatility (47%): potential supply-chain disruption
Demanda
[Demand Crew / KC] Korean seasonal demand: Chuseok prep (추석 준비). Elevated sugar prices reduce sweetened beverage competition for coffee. Quant 7d: bullish (+29.8%), consistent with demand strength
Macro
[Macro Crew / KC] HIGH volatility regime (47%): elevated uncertainty, wider ranges expected. Broad commodity trend bullish: 8/11 above SMA200 (73%). Broad momentum: 8 golden crosses across commodities. EXTREME crisis level: flight-to-real-assets, commodity hoarding likely. Quant 7d: bullish (+29.8%), macro alignment
Por que essa leitura
i

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

Por que esperar pode ser melhor
i

Even on a bullish call, remaining risks mean waiting for confirmation can still be cleaner than chasing.

O que observar a seguir
i

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Need more context?
i

When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.

Agent views
Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.
Market regime

Directional regime

Event context
Watch the next data refresh and debate update.
Disagreement diagnosis
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Moderator log

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Cenário base

Café está com viés altista no momento.

Risco
Não há grande divergência no momento.
KC swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 14 active signals.
Chart

Gráfico de Mercado

O gráfico é apenas referência visual; a chamada real vem da evidência e do debate abaixo.

Dados com atraso. Combine o gráfico com evidência e scorecard.
Quant

Quant Forecast

Compare 7D, 14D e 30D na mesma estrutura.

7d
$405.02
+29.81%
$383.63 ~ $425.94
14d
$435.64
+39.63%
$414.63 ~ $456.02
30d
$451.47
+44.70%
$429.69 ~ $472.88
TA

Technical Analysis

Debate

4-Crew Debate

Aqui o sistema confirma, ajusta ou substitui a tese base do quant.

Decision
ADJUST
Direction
Alta
Consensus
74%
Score
+0.913
Swarm

Recent Swarm Scenario

Em crise, a simulação vira uma camada extra de decisão.

Run
swarm_20260815_070424_kc
Direction
Alta
Confidence
92%

KC swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 14 active signals.

가뭄 경고 (2개)다수 지역 홍수 (2개)폭염 경고
Track Record

Prediction History

Recent prediction track record for KC

KC
KC
KC
KC
54%
Hit rate
AI Debate

Consenso Multi-IA

Análise cruzada de agentes de IA independentes

Veredicto IA

Alta

Confiança

57%

Acordo

73%

Agents

12/12

Votação

Alta
73%
Neutro
15%
Baixa
12%

Fatores-chave

  • 1Enso El Nino Tropical
  • 2Approaching Tight Supply
  • 3Brazil Vietnam Flowering Risk
  • 4Tropical Drought Risk
  • 5Approaching Tight Supply Window

Riscos-chave

  • !Quant 7d Forecast Magnitude Implausible For Physical Commodity
  • !High Volatility Could Reverse As Easily As Extend
  • !Missing Crop And Inventory Evidence
  • !High Volatility Forecast Error

Resumo por Equipe

Supplysonnet-4.6

El Nino remains a legitimate structural bullish driver for KC — it tends to bring drought stress to Vietnam/Indonesia Robusta regions and irregular flowering conditions in Brazil's Arabica belt, both...

Supplygpt-5.4

Supply conditions lean bullish because drought risk in tropical producing regions coincides with an approaching tight-supply period, while the quant forecast signals substantial near-term upside.

Macrosonnet-4.6

Macro backdrop (broad commodity uptrend, 8 golden crosses, extreme crisis-driven flight to real assets) supports a bullish stance on coffee as part of a wider commodity complex re-rating, and...

Macrogpt-5.4

Broad commodity participation and widespread golden crosses support continued upside in KC, while the Quant forecast confirms strong momentum across multiple horizons.

Regras vs IAagree
Execution

Evidence → Validation → TradingView

Remova o comportamento de compra e mantenha a página focada em evidência, scorecard e execução no gráfico.

Path

30-Day Forecast Path

DateForecastLowHigh
2026-08-15$364.86$344.55$385.51
2026-08-16$370.78$350.60$390.94
2026-08-17$383.86$362.36$405.13
2026-08-18$389.57$367.93$410.24
2026-08-19$395.81$377.21$414.71
2026-08-20$400.63$380.50$419.86
2026-08-21$405.02$383.63$425.94
2026-08-22$404.71$382.40$422.90
2026-08-23$409.69$389.89$429.86
2026-08-24$421.56$399.55$442.97
2026-08-25$425.79$405.22$446.56
2026-08-26$430.34$408.54$450.30
2026-08-27$433.28$411.99$453.01
2026-08-28$435.64$414.63$456.02
E-E-A-T

Fontes de Dados

Metodologia: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more

Ultima atualizacao:

CropCast v2.0 — Motor de Previsão de Preços de Commodities com IA