Signal Detail

Kopi

Jawaban Cepat AI

Kopi (KC) 30-day outlook: Naik. 6/6 of 4 Crews agree. Key evidence: El Nino: drought risk in tropical producing regions. Quant 7d. Confidence 82%. (As of 2026-08-14)

KC
NaikADJUST
Harga Saat Ini
$312.00
-6.33%
Konsensus
74%
Kepercayaan
82%
Confidence keputusan82%
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
15/08/2026, 07.06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D bullish · 29.81%

Kopi saat ini condong bullish.

Tinjau bukti dulu, lalu ikuti skenario bullish secara selektif.

Summary

Ringkasan sederhana

Baca arah, bukti, dan risiko sebelum memutuskan cara eksekusi.

Ringkasan cepat

Kopi saat ini condong bullish. Tinjau bukti dulu, lalu ikuti skenario bullish secara selektif.

Judgment basis
Adopted moderator evidence is unavailable, so this section currently shows supporting crew evidence instead.
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
15/08/2026, 07.06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D bullish · 29.81%
Evidence basis
Pasokan
[Supply Crew / KC] El Nino: drought risk in tropical producing regions. Quant 7d forecast: bullish (+29.8%), supply may be tightening. Approaching tight-supply period next month for KC. High volatility (47%): potential supply-chain disruption
Permintaan
[Demand Crew / KC] Korean seasonal demand: Chuseok prep (추석 준비). Elevated sugar prices reduce sweetened beverage competition for coffee. Quant 7d: bullish (+29.8%), consistent with demand strength
Makro
[Macro Crew / KC] HIGH volatility regime (47%): elevated uncertainty, wider ranges expected. Broad commodity trend bullish: 8/11 above SMA200 (73%). Broad momentum: 8 golden crosses across commodities. EXTREME crisis level: flight-to-real-assets, commodity hoarding likely. Quant 7d: bullish (+29.8%), macro alignment
Mengapa seperti ini
i

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

Mengapa menunggu bisa lebih baik
i

Even on a bullish call, remaining risks mean waiting for confirmation can still be cleaner than chasing.

Apa yang dicek berikutnya
i

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Need more context?
i

When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.

Agent views
Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.
Market regime

Directional regime

Event context
Watch the next data refresh and debate update.
Disagreement diagnosis
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Moderator log

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Skenario dasar

Kopi saat ini condong bullish.

Risk watch
Belum ada perbedaan besar saat ini.
KC swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 14 active signals.
Chart

Grafik Pasar

Grafik hanya referensi visual; keputusan utama datang dari bukti dan debate di bawah.

Data tertunda. Gabungkan chart dengan bukti dan scorecard.
Quant

Quant Forecast

Bandingkan 7D, 14D, dan 30D dalam struktur yang sama.

7d
$405.02
+29.81%
$383.63 ~ $425.94
14d
$435.64
+39.63%
$414.63 ~ $456.02
30d
$451.47
+44.70%
$429.69 ~ $472.88
TA

Technical Analysis

Debate

4-Crew Debate

Di sini sistem mengonfirmasi, menyesuaikan, atau override base case quant.

Decision
ADJUST
Direction
Naik
Consensus
74%
Score
+0.913
Swarm

Recent Swarm Scenario

Saat krisis, simulasi menjadi layer keputusan tambahan.

Run
swarm_20260815_070424_kc
Direction
Naik
Confidence
92%

KC swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 14 active signals.

가뭄 경고 (2개)다수 지역 홍수 (2개)폭염 경고
Track Record

Prediction History

Recent prediction track record for KC

KC
KC
KC
KC
54%
Hit rate
AI Debate

Konsensus Multi-AI

Analisis silang dari agen AI independen

Keputusan AI

Naik

Keyakinan

57%

Kesepakatan

73%

Agents

12/12

Distribusi Suara

Naik
73%
Netral
15%
Turun
12%

Faktor Kunci

  • 1Enso El Nino Tropical
  • 2Approaching Tight Supply
  • 3Brazil Vietnam Flowering Risk
  • 4Tropical Drought Risk
  • 5Approaching Tight Supply Window

Risiko Utama

  • !Quant 7d Forecast Magnitude Implausible For Physical Commodity
  • !High Volatility Could Reverse As Easily As Extend
  • !Missing Crop And Inventory Evidence
  • !High Volatility Forecast Error

Ringkasan Analisis Kru

Supplysonnet-4.6

El Nino remains a legitimate structural bullish driver for KC — it tends to bring drought stress to Vietnam/Indonesia Robusta regions and irregular flowering conditions in Brazil's Arabica belt, both...

Supplygpt-5.4

Supply conditions lean bullish because drought risk in tropical producing regions coincides with an approaching tight-supply period, while the quant forecast signals substantial near-term upside.

Macrosonnet-4.6

Macro backdrop (broad commodity uptrend, 8 golden crosses, extreme crisis-driven flight to real assets) supports a bullish stance on coffee as part of a wider commodity complex re-rating, and...

Macrogpt-5.4

Broad commodity participation and widespread golden crosses support continued upside in KC, while the Quant forecast confirms strong momentum across multiple horizons.

Aturan vs AIagree
Execution

Evidence → Validation → TradingView

Hilangkan perilaku shopping dan fokuskan halaman pada bukti, scorecard, dan chart execution.

Path

30-Day Forecast Path

DateForecastLowHigh
2026-08-15$364.86$344.55$385.51
2026-08-16$370.78$350.60$390.94
2026-08-17$383.86$362.36$405.13
2026-08-18$389.57$367.93$410.24
2026-08-19$395.81$377.21$414.71
2026-08-20$400.63$380.50$419.86
2026-08-21$405.02$383.63$425.94
2026-08-22$404.71$382.40$422.90
2026-08-23$409.69$389.89$429.86
2026-08-24$421.56$399.55$442.97
2026-08-25$425.79$405.22$446.56
2026-08-26$430.34$408.54$450.30
2026-08-27$433.28$411.99$453.01
2026-08-28$435.64$414.63$456.02
E-E-A-T

Sumber Data

Metodologi: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more

Terakhir diperbarui:

CropCast v2.0 — Mesin Prediksi Harga Komoditas AI