Signal Detail

Café

Respuesta Rapida IA

Café (KC) 30-day outlook: Alcista. 6/6 of 4 Crews agree. Key evidence: El Nino: drought risk in tropical producing regions. Quant 7d. Confidence 82%. (As of 2026-08-14)

KC
AlcistaADJUST
Precio Actual
$312.00
-6.33%
Consenso
74%
Confianza
82%
Confianza de la decisión82%
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
15/08/2026, 07:06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D bullish · 29.81%

Café muestra un sesgo alcista por ahora.

Revisa la evidencia y después sigue el escenario alcista de forma selectiva.

Summary

Lectura en lenguaje claro

Lee dirección, evidencia y riesgo antes de decidir cómo ejecutar.

Lectura rápida

Café muestra un sesgo alcista por ahora. Revisa la evidencia y después sigue el escenario alcista de forma selectiva.

Judgment basis
Adopted moderator evidence is unavailable, so this section currently shows supporting crew evidence instead.
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
15/08/2026, 07:06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D bullish · 29.81%
Evidence basis
Oferta
[Supply Crew / KC] El Nino: drought risk in tropical producing regions. Quant 7d forecast: bullish (+29.8%), supply may be tightening. Approaching tight-supply period next month for KC. High volatility (47%): potential supply-chain disruption
Demanda
[Demand Crew / KC] Korean seasonal demand: Chuseok prep (추석 준비). Elevated sugar prices reduce sweetened beverage competition for coffee. Quant 7d: bullish (+29.8%), consistent with demand strength
Macro
[Macro Crew / KC] HIGH volatility regime (47%): elevated uncertainty, wider ranges expected. Broad commodity trend bullish: 8/11 above SMA200 (73%). Broad momentum: 8 golden crosses across commodities. EXTREME crisis level: flight-to-real-assets, commodity hoarding likely. Quant 7d: bullish (+29.8%), macro alignment
Por qué esta lectura
i

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

Por qué puede ser mejor esperar
i

Even on a bullish call, remaining risks mean waiting for confirmation can still be cleaner than chasing.

Qué vigilar después
i

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Need more context?
i

When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.

Agent views
Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.
Market regime

Directional regime

Event context
Watch the next data refresh and debate update.
Disagreement diagnosis
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Moderator log

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Escenario base

Café muestra un sesgo alcista por ahora.

Riesgo
No hay grandes desacuerdos ahora mismo.
KC swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 14 active signals.
Chart

Gráfico de Mercado

El gráfico es solo referencia visual; la decisión real sale de la evidencia y del debate inferior.

Datos con retraso. Combina el gráfico con evidencia y scorecard.
Quant

Quant Forecast

Compara 7D, 14D y 30D con la misma estructura.

7d
$405.02
+29.81%
$383.63 ~ $425.94
14d
$435.64
+39.63%
$414.63 ~ $456.02
30d
$451.47
+44.70%
$429.69 ~ $472.88
TA

Technical Analysis

Debate

4-Crew Debate

Aquí el sistema confirma, ajusta o revierte la tesis base del quant.

Decision
ADJUST
Direction
Alcista
Consensus
74%
Score
+0.913
Swarm

Recent Swarm Scenario

En crisis, la simulación agrega una capa extra de decisión.

Run
swarm_20260815_070424_kc
Direction
Alcista
Confidence
92%

KC swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 14 active signals.

가뭄 경고 (2개)다수 지역 홍수 (2개)폭염 경고
Track Record

Prediction History

Recent prediction track record for KC

KC
KC
KC
KC
54%
Hit rate
AI Debate

Consenso Multi-IA

Análisis cruzado de agentes de IA independientes

Veredicto IA

Alcista

Confianza

57%

Acuerdo

73%

Agents

12/12

Votación

Alcista
73%
Neutral
15%
Bajista
12%

Factores clave

  • 1Enso El Nino Tropical
  • 2Approaching Tight Supply
  • 3Brazil Vietnam Flowering Risk
  • 4Tropical Drought Risk
  • 5Approaching Tight Supply Window

Riesgos clave

  • !Quant 7d Forecast Magnitude Implausible For Physical Commodity
  • !High Volatility Could Reverse As Easily As Extend
  • !Missing Crop And Inventory Evidence
  • !High Volatility Forecast Error

Resumen por Equipo

Supplysonnet-4.6

El Nino remains a legitimate structural bullish driver for KC — it tends to bring drought stress to Vietnam/Indonesia Robusta regions and irregular flowering conditions in Brazil's Arabica belt, both...

Supplygpt-5.4

Supply conditions lean bullish because drought risk in tropical producing regions coincides with an approaching tight-supply period, while the quant forecast signals substantial near-term upside.

Macrosonnet-4.6

Macro backdrop (broad commodity uptrend, 8 golden crosses, extreme crisis-driven flight to real assets) supports a bullish stance on coffee as part of a wider commodity complex re-rating, and...

Macrogpt-5.4

Broad commodity participation and widespread golden crosses support continued upside in KC, while the Quant forecast confirms strong momentum across multiple horizons.

Reglas vs IAagree
Execution

Evidence → Validation → TradingView

Quita el comportamiento de compra y deja la página enfocada en evidencia, scorecard y ejecución por gráfico.

Path

30-Day Forecast Path

DateForecastLowHigh
2026-08-15$364.86$344.55$385.51
2026-08-16$370.78$350.60$390.94
2026-08-17$383.86$362.36$405.13
2026-08-18$389.57$367.93$410.24
2026-08-19$395.81$377.21$414.71
2026-08-20$400.63$380.50$419.86
2026-08-21$405.02$383.63$425.94
2026-08-22$404.71$382.40$422.90
2026-08-23$409.69$389.89$429.86
2026-08-24$421.56$399.55$442.97
2026-08-25$425.79$405.22$446.56
2026-08-26$430.34$408.54$450.30
2026-08-27$433.28$411.99$453.01
2026-08-28$435.64$414.63$456.02
E-E-A-T

Fuentes de Datos

Metodologia: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more

Ultima actualizacion:

CropCast v2.0 — Motor de Predicción de Precios con IA