Signal Detail

Soja

Resposta Rapida IA

Soja (ZS) 30-day outlook: Alta. 6/6 of 4 Crews agree. Key evidence: Quant 7d forecast: bullish (+2.6%), supply may be tightening.. Confidence 84%. (As of 2026-06-17)

ZS
AltaADJUST
Preço Atual
$1,145.50
+2.35%
Consenso
74%
Confiança
84%
Confiança da decisão84%
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
17/06/2026, 03:05 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D neutral · -0.21%

Soja está com viés altista no momento.

Revise a evidência e então siga o cenário altista de forma seletiva.

Summary

Leitura em linguagem simples

Leia direção, evidência e risco antes de decidir como executar.

Leitura rápida

Soja está com viés altista no momento. Revise a evidência e então siga o cenário altista de forma seletiva.

Judgment basis
Adopted moderator evidence is unavailable, so this section currently shows supporting crew evidence instead.
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
17/06/2026, 03:05 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D neutral · -0.21%
Evidence basis
Oferta
[Supply Crew / ZS] Quant 7d forecast: bullish (+2.6%), supply may be tightening. Seasonal: month 6 is typically a tight-supply period for ZS
Demanda
[Demand Crew / ZS] Crude oil dropped -3.2% today: ethanol demand weakness. LE at 52w 83%: profitable feeding encourages ZS demand. Quant 7d: bullish (+2.6%), consistent with demand strength
Macro
[Macro Crew / ZS] Natural gas at 52w 12%: fertilizer costs low. Broad momentum: 7 golden crosses across commodities. Intelligence: 5 geopolitical signals (risk-on for commodities). EXTREME crisis level: flight-to-real-assets, commodity hoarding likely. Quant 7d: bullish (+2.6%), macro alignment
Por que essa leitura
i

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

Por que esperar pode ser melhor
i

Even on a bullish call, remaining risks mean waiting for confirmation can still be cleaner than chasing.

O que observar a seguir
i

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Need more context?
i

When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.

Agent views
Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.
Market regime

Directional regime

Event context
Watch the next data refresh and debate update.
Disagreement diagnosis
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Moderator log

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Cenário base

Soja está com viés altista no momento.

Risco
Não há grande divergência no momento.
ZS swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 5 active signals.
Chart

Gráfico de Mercado

O gráfico é apenas referência visual; a chamada real vem da evidência e do debate abaixo.

Dados com atraso. Combine o gráfico com evidência e scorecard.
Quant

Quant Forecast

Compare 7D, 14D e 30D na mesma estrutura.

7d
$1,143.06
-0.21%
$1112.09 ~ $1172.86
14d
$1,143.17
-0.20%
$1114.40 ~ $1172.63
30d
$1,114.90
-2.67%
$1084.49 ~ $1147.90
TA

Technical Analysis

Debate

4-Crew Debate

Aqui o sistema confirma, ajusta ou substitui a tese base do quant.

Decision
ADJUST
Direction
Alta
Consensus
74%
Score
+0.947
Swarm

Recent Swarm Scenario

Em crise, a simulação vira uma camada extra de decisão.

Run
swarm_20260611_065318_zs
Direction
Alta
Confidence
92%

ZS swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 5 active signals.

다수 지역 홍수 (2개)KC 52주 극단다수 선물 고변동성 (3개)
Track Record

Prediction History

Recent prediction track record for ZS

ZS
ZS
ZS
72%
Hit rate
AI Debate

Consenso Multi-IA

Análise cruzada de agentes de IA independentes

Veredicto IA

Alta

Confiança

62%

Acordo

73%

Agents

6/12

Votação

Alta
73%
Neutro
27%
Baixa
0%

Fatores-chave

  • 1LE At 83pct 52w Sustains Meal Demand
  • 2RFS Mandates Floor Soyoil Biodiesel Demand Despite Crude Drop
  • 3Quant Multihorizon Consistency Signals Steady Drift
  • 4Low Natgas Fertilizer Cost Supports Margins
  • 5Crisis Flight To Real Assets Commodity Hoarding

Riscos-chave

  • !Crude Drop Compresses Biodiesel Margins Soyoil Headwind Undercounted
  • !China Crush Demand Absent From Analysis Key Unknown
  • !US China Tariff Escalation Redirects Soy Demand To Brazil Argentina
  • !Extreme Crisis Can Trigger Demand Destruction And EM Currency Weakness Offsetting Commodity Bid

Resumo por Equipe

Demandsonnet-4.6

The LE profitability signal is the most credible demand driver here — cattle at the 83rd percentile of their 52-week range means feeding margins remain strong, sustaining soybean meal offtake from...

Macrosonnet-4.6

ZS benefits from the macro backdrop of low natural gas prices compressing fertilizer input costs while geopolitical risk premiums and crisis-driven flight-to-real-assets provide demand support.

Globalsonnet-4.6

ZS at $1113.5 sits at a technically compelling juncture: deeply oversold RSI on top of a confirmed Golden Cross signals mean-reversion potential within an intact medium-term uptrend — a combination...

Sentimentsonnet-4.6

RSI at 15.4 is not merely oversold — it signals capitulation-level selling and historically precedes sharp short-covering bounces; bearish news saturation at this RSI depth often marks peak pessimism...

Regras vs IAagree
Execution

Evidence → Validation → TradingView

Remova o comportamento de compra e mantenha a página focada em evidência, scorecard e execução no gráfico.

Path

30-Day Forecast Path

DateForecastLowHigh
2026-06-17$1143.13$1114.06$1173.16
2026-06-18$1142.94$1113.84$1172.28
2026-06-19$1142.68$1111.85$1172.92
2026-06-20$1147.14$1117.23$1176.03
2026-06-21$1147.16$1118.96$1175.53
2026-06-22$1142.90$1111.64$1176.11
2026-06-23$1143.06$1112.09$1172.86
2026-06-24$1143.01$1113.81$1172.43
2026-06-25$1143.19$1114.63$1172.80
2026-06-26$1143.18$1113.90$1174.54
2026-06-27$1147.76$1120.02$1178.15
2026-06-28$1147.75$1117.22$1176.72
2026-06-29$1143.33$1114.67$1174.12
2026-06-30$1143.17$1114.40$1172.63
E-E-A-T

Fontes de Dados

Metodologia: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more

Ultima atualizacao:

CropCast v2.0 — Motor de Previsão de Preços de Commodities com IA