Signal Detail

Kedelai

Jawaban Cepat AI

Kedelai (ZS) 30-day outlook: Naik. 6/6 of 4 Crews agree. Key evidence: Quant 7d forecast: bullish (+2.6%), supply may be tightening.. Confidence 84%. (As of 2026-06-17)

ZS
NaikADJUST
Harga Saat Ini
$1,145.50
+2.35%
Konsensus
74%
Kepercayaan
84%
Confidence keputusan84%
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
17/06/2026, 03.05 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D neutral · -0.21%

Kedelai saat ini condong bullish.

Tinjau bukti dulu, lalu ikuti skenario bullish secara selektif.

Summary

Ringkasan sederhana

Baca arah, bukti, dan risiko sebelum memutuskan cara eksekusi.

Ringkasan cepat

Kedelai saat ini condong bullish. Tinjau bukti dulu, lalu ikuti skenario bullish secara selektif.

Judgment basis
Adopted moderator evidence is unavailable, so this section currently shows supporting crew evidence instead.
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
17/06/2026, 03.05 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D neutral · -0.21%
Evidence basis
Pasokan
[Supply Crew / ZS] Quant 7d forecast: bullish (+2.6%), supply may be tightening. Seasonal: month 6 is typically a tight-supply period for ZS
Permintaan
[Demand Crew / ZS] Crude oil dropped -3.2% today: ethanol demand weakness. LE at 52w 83%: profitable feeding encourages ZS demand. Quant 7d: bullish (+2.6%), consistent with demand strength
Makro
[Macro Crew / ZS] Natural gas at 52w 12%: fertilizer costs low. Broad momentum: 7 golden crosses across commodities. Intelligence: 5 geopolitical signals (risk-on for commodities). EXTREME crisis level: flight-to-real-assets, commodity hoarding likely. Quant 7d: bullish (+2.6%), macro alignment
Mengapa seperti ini
i

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

Mengapa menunggu bisa lebih baik
i

Even on a bullish call, remaining risks mean waiting for confirmation can still be cleaner than chasing.

Apa yang dicek berikutnya
i

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Need more context?
i

When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.

Agent views
Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.
Market regime

Directional regime

Event context
Watch the next data refresh and debate update.
Disagreement diagnosis
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Moderator log

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Skenario dasar

Kedelai saat ini condong bullish.

Risk watch
Belum ada perbedaan besar saat ini.
ZS swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 5 active signals.
Chart

Grafik Pasar

Grafik hanya referensi visual; keputusan utama datang dari bukti dan debate di bawah.

Data tertunda. Gabungkan chart dengan bukti dan scorecard.
Quant

Quant Forecast

Bandingkan 7D, 14D, dan 30D dalam struktur yang sama.

7d
$1,143.06
-0.21%
$1112.09 ~ $1172.86
14d
$1,143.17
-0.20%
$1114.40 ~ $1172.63
30d
$1,114.90
-2.67%
$1084.49 ~ $1147.90
TA

Technical Analysis

Debate

4-Crew Debate

Di sini sistem mengonfirmasi, menyesuaikan, atau override base case quant.

Decision
ADJUST
Direction
Naik
Consensus
74%
Score
+0.947
Swarm

Recent Swarm Scenario

Saat krisis, simulasi menjadi layer keputusan tambahan.

Run
swarm_20260611_065318_zs
Direction
Naik
Confidence
92%

ZS swarm simulation under extreme: double_up bias with 5 active signals.

다수 지역 홍수 (2개)KC 52주 극단다수 선물 고변동성 (3개)
Track Record

Prediction History

Recent prediction track record for ZS

ZS
ZS
ZS
72%
Hit rate
AI Debate

Konsensus Multi-AI

Analisis silang dari agen AI independen

Keputusan AI

Naik

Keyakinan

62%

Kesepakatan

73%

Agents

6/12

Distribusi Suara

Naik
73%
Netral
27%
Turun
0%

Faktor Kunci

  • 1LE At 83pct 52w Sustains Meal Demand
  • 2RFS Mandates Floor Soyoil Biodiesel Demand Despite Crude Drop
  • 3Quant Multihorizon Consistency Signals Steady Drift
  • 4Low Natgas Fertilizer Cost Supports Margins
  • 5Crisis Flight To Real Assets Commodity Hoarding

Risiko Utama

  • !Crude Drop Compresses Biodiesel Margins Soyoil Headwind Undercounted
  • !China Crush Demand Absent From Analysis Key Unknown
  • !US China Tariff Escalation Redirects Soy Demand To Brazil Argentina
  • !Extreme Crisis Can Trigger Demand Destruction And EM Currency Weakness Offsetting Commodity Bid

Ringkasan Analisis Kru

Demandsonnet-4.6

The LE profitability signal is the most credible demand driver here — cattle at the 83rd percentile of their 52-week range means feeding margins remain strong, sustaining soybean meal offtake from...

Macrosonnet-4.6

ZS benefits from the macro backdrop of low natural gas prices compressing fertilizer input costs while geopolitical risk premiums and crisis-driven flight-to-real-assets provide demand support.

Globalsonnet-4.6

ZS at $1113.5 sits at a technically compelling juncture: deeply oversold RSI on top of a confirmed Golden Cross signals mean-reversion potential within an intact medium-term uptrend — a combination...

Sentimentsonnet-4.6

RSI at 15.4 is not merely oversold — it signals capitulation-level selling and historically precedes sharp short-covering bounces; bearish news saturation at this RSI depth often marks peak pessimism...

Aturan vs AIagree
Execution

Evidence → Validation → TradingView

Hilangkan perilaku shopping dan fokuskan halaman pada bukti, scorecard, dan chart execution.

Path

30-Day Forecast Path

DateForecastLowHigh
2026-06-17$1143.13$1114.06$1173.16
2026-06-18$1142.94$1113.84$1172.28
2026-06-19$1142.68$1111.85$1172.92
2026-06-20$1147.14$1117.23$1176.03
2026-06-21$1147.16$1118.96$1175.53
2026-06-22$1142.90$1111.64$1176.11
2026-06-23$1143.06$1112.09$1172.86
2026-06-24$1143.01$1113.81$1172.43
2026-06-25$1143.19$1114.63$1172.80
2026-06-26$1143.18$1113.90$1174.54
2026-06-27$1147.76$1120.02$1178.15
2026-06-28$1147.75$1117.22$1176.72
2026-06-29$1143.33$1114.67$1174.12
2026-06-30$1143.17$1114.40$1172.63
E-E-A-T

Sumber Data

Metodologi: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more

Terakhir diperbarui:

CropCast v2.0 — Mesin Prediksi Harga Komoditas AI