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Signal Detail

Gas-Natural

Respuesta Rapida IA

Gas-Natural (NG) 30-day outlook: Neutral. 6/6 of 4 Crews agree. Key evidence: Quant 7d forecast: bearish (-4.6%), supply pressure easing. W. Confidence 61%. (As of 2026-08-14)

NG
—Neutral⇄ADJUST
Precio Actual
$2.72
-0.44%
Consenso
67%
Confianza
61%
Confianza de la decisión61%
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
15/08/2026, 07:06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D bearish · -4.63%

Gas-Natural todavía no muestra una ventaja direccional clara.

Hasta que suba la convicción, lo más limpio es observar.

Informe diarioScorecard
Summary

Lectura en lenguaje claro

Lee dirección, evidencia y riesgo antes de decidir cómo ejecutar.

Lectura rápida

Gas-Natural todavía no muestra una ventaja direccional clara. Hasta que suba la convicción, lo más limpio es observar.

Judgment basis
Adopted moderator evidence is unavailable, so this section currently shows supporting crew evidence instead.
Main report time
-
Market snapshot time
15/08/2026, 07:06 (UTC)
Quant basis
7D bearish · -4.63%
Evidence basis
Oferta
[Supply Crew / NG] Quant 7d forecast: bearish (-4.6%), supply pressure easing. Wide CI range (34%): high supply uncertainty. 52w position 4%: low prices likely reducing production incentives
Demanda
[Demand Crew / NG] Korean seasonal demand: Chuseok prep (추석 준비). Price at 3.9th percentile of 52w range — bargain levels attract restocking and value buying from processors. Quant 7d: bearish (-4.6%), consistent with demand softness
Macro
[Macro Crew / NG] Broad commodity trend bullish: 8/11 above SMA200 (73%). Broad momentum: 8 golden crosses across commodities. EXTREME crisis level: flight-to-real-assets, commodity hoarding likely. Quant 7d: bearish (-4.6%), macro alignment
Por qué esta lectura
i

Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.

Por qué puede ser mejor esperar
i

Hasta que suba la convicción, lo más limpio es observar.

Qué vigilar después
i

Watch the next data refresh and debate update.

Need more context?
i

When evidence is thin or event uncertainty is high, the next intelligence refresh and swarm scenario become the extra validation layer.

Agent views
Primary evidence is still being structured. Use the base scenario and confidence first.
Market regime

Event-wait / neutral regime

Event context
Watch the next data refresh and debate update.
Disagreement diagnosis
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Moderator log

Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.

Adopted evidence
Deferred evidence
Crews were mostly aligned without major conflict.
Escenario base

Gas-Natural todavía no muestra una ventaja direccional clara.

Riesgo
No hay grandes desacuerdos ahora mismo.
NG swarm simulation under high: double_down bias with 7 active signals.
Chart

Gráfico de Mercado

El gráfico es solo referencia visual; la decisión real sale de la evidencia y del debate inferior.

Datos con retraso. Combina el gráfico con evidencia y scorecard.
Quant

Quant Forecast

Compara 7D, 14D y 30D con la misma estructura.

7d
$2.59
-4.63%
$2.13 ~ $3.05
14d
$2.64
-2.69%
$2.19 ~ $3.09
30d
$2.44
-10.28%
$1.95 ~ $2.91
TA

Technical Analysis

Debate

4-Crew Debate

Aquí el sistema confirma, ajusta o revierte la tesis base del quant.

Decision
⇄ADJUST
Direction
—Neutral
Consensus
67%
Score
-0.393
Swarm

Recent Swarm Scenario

En crisis, la simulación agrega una capa extra de decisión.

Run
swarm_20260812_211740_ng
Direction
Bajista
Confidence
68.6%

NG swarm simulation under high: double_down bias with 7 active signals.

다수 지역 가뭄 (4개)폭염 경고ENSO EL_NINO
Track Record

Prediction History

Recent prediction track record for NG

NG
NG
NG
82%
Hit rate
AI Debate

Consenso Multi-IA

Análisis cruzado de agentes de IA independientes

▼

Veredicto IA

Bajista

Confianza

57%

Acuerdo

78%

Agents

12/12

Votación

Alcista
6%
Neutral
17%
Bajista
78%

Factores clave

  • 1Ample Us Storage Injections
  • 2No Current Geopolitical Supply Shock
  • 3Weak Ldc Industrial Demand
  • 4Technical Downtrend Confirmed
  • 5Multi Horizon Bearish Forecast

Riesgos clave

  • !Hurricane Season Gulf Lng Disruption Risk
  • !Late Summer Cooling Demand Spike
  • !China Lng Restocking Could Tighten Global Spreads
  • !Seasonal Bullish Bias

Resumen por Equipo

▲Globalsonnet-4.6

Global supply-side picture supports the bearish quant/rule-based read: US and global LNG feedgas remains ample, storage is tracking near/above 5yr average heading into shoulder season, and there's no...

▲Globalgpt-5.4

The aligned bearish forecasts across 7-, 14-, and 30-day horizons, negative MACD, death cross, and price below all major moving averages indicate a persistent structural downtrend.

◈Supplysonnet-4.6

Near-term momentum (-4.6% 7d, -10.3% 30d) confirms ample supply/storage pressure into the summer injection season, but with price sitting at just the 4th percentile of its 52-week range, the...

◈Supplygpt-5.4

The bearish forecasts across 7-, 14-, and 30-day horizons indicate persistent near-term supply pressure, but the data provide no direct evidence from inventories, production, weather, or...

Reglas vs IAdisagree
Execution

Evidence → Validation → TradingView

Quita el comportamiento de compra y deja la página enfocada en evidencia, scorecard y ejecución por gráfico.

Report
Abrir informe de evidencia
Validation
Ver scorecard y paper trading
Path

30-Day Forecast Path

DateForecastLowHigh
2026-08-15$2.31$1.81$2.80
2026-08-16$2.32$1.84$2.78
2026-08-17$2.56$2.12$3.06
2026-08-18$2.56$2.12$3.03
2026-08-19$2.59$2.09$3.08
2026-08-20$2.57$2.08$3.05
2026-08-21$2.59$2.13$3.05
2026-08-22$2.37$1.89$2.88
2026-08-23$2.38$1.88$2.85
2026-08-24$2.63$2.19$3.09
2026-08-25$2.62$2.16$3.09
2026-08-26$2.65$2.17$3.15
2026-08-27$2.63$2.14$3.12
2026-08-28$2.64$2.19$3.09
E-E-A-T

Fuentes de Datos

USDA WASDENOAA ENSO/CFSv2CFTC COTNASA NDVIKAMISCME GroupFAO

Metodologia: Quant Engine (Prophet) + 4 Specialist Crews + Pattern Matcher → Debate Moderator. Learn more

Ultima actualizacion:

CropCast v2.0 — Motor de Predicción de Precios con IA